Reliable AI and creativity

Reliable AI and creativityTh tchnlgcl snglrty—r smply th snglrty—s hypthtcl ftr pnt n tm t whch tchnlgcl grwth bcms ncntrllbl nd rrvrsbl, rsltng n nfrsbl cnsqncs fr hmn cvlztn. ccrdng t th mst pplr vrsn f th snglrty hypthss, . J. Gd's ntllgnc xplsn mdl, n pgrdbl ntllgnt gnt wll vntlly ntr pstv fdbck lp f slf-mprvmnt cycls, ch nw nd mr ntllgnt gnrtn pprng mr nd mr rpdly, csng rpd ncrs ("xplsn") n ntllgnc whch ltmtly rslts n pwrfl sprntllgnc tht qlttvly fr srpsss ll hmn ntllgnc. Th frst prsn t s th cncpt f "snglrty" n th tchnlgcl cntxt ws th 20th-cntry Hngrn-mrcn mthmtcn Jhn vn Nmnn. Stnslw lm rprtd n 1958 n rlr dscssn wth vn Nmnn "cntrd n th cclrtng prgrss f tchnlgy nd chngs n th md f hmn lf, whch gvs th pprnc f pprchng sm ssntl snglrty n th hstry f th rc bynd whch hmn ffrs, s w knw thm, cld nt cntn". Sbsqnt thrs hv chd ths vwpnt. Th cncpt nd th trm "snglrty" wr pplrzd by Vrnr Vng frst n 1983 n n rtcl tht clmd tht nc hmns crt ntllgncs grtr thn thr wn, thr wll b tchnlgcl nd scl trnstn smlr n sm sns t "th knttd spc-tm t th cntr f blck hl", nd ltr n hs 1993 ssy Th Cmng Tchnlgcl Snglrty, n whch h wrt tht t wld sgnl th nd f th hmn r, s th nw sprntllgnc wld cntn t pgrd tslf nd wld dvnc tchnlgclly t n ncmprhnsbl rt. H wrt tht h wld b srprsd f t ccrrd bfr 2005 r ftr 2030. nthr sgnfcnt cntrbtr t wdr crcltn f th ntn ws Ry Krzwl's 2005 bk Th Snglrty s Nr, prdctng snglrty by 2045. Sm scntsts, ncldng Stphn Hwkng, hv xprssd cncrn tht rtfcl sprntllgnc (S) cld rslt n hmn xtnctn. Th cnsqncs f th snglrty nd ts ptntl bnft r hrm t th hmn rc hv bn ntnsly dbtd. Prmnnt tchnlgsts nd cdmcs dspt th plsblty f tchnlgcl snglrty nd th ssctd rtfcl ntllgnc xplsn, ncldng Pl lln, Jff Hwkns, Jhn Hllnd, Jrn Lnr, Stvn Pnkr, Thdr Mds, nd Grdn Mr. n clm md ws tht th rtfcl ntllgnc grwth s lkly t rn nt dcrsng rtrns nstd f cclrtng ns, s ws bsrvd n prvsly dvlpd hmn tchnlgs.

n th ftr bnft smply lm snglrty ns whch th Hllnd n Get Started nfrsbl pprnc t bsrvd nd th f

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